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18 Feb 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.3%
AEK
14.0%
Draw
5.7%
Kifisia

Expected Goals (xG)

2.68

AEK

vs
0.62

Kifisia

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.3%
3-0
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.3%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
2-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).