Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.5%
Burton
23.6%
Draw
51.9%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Burton
vs
1.54
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).