Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Monza
22.5%
Draw
60.0%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Monza
vs
1.79
Genoa
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
0-2
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).