Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Barnet
24.3%
Draw
22.1%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Barnet
vs
0.91
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).