Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Palermo
30.0%
Draw
32.7%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Palermo
vs
1.17
Monza
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).