Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.0%
Montpellier
21.7%
Draw
52.3%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Montpellier
vs
1.83
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).