Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Faversham Town
19.5%
Draw
22.8%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Faversham Town
vs
1.36
Man United
Markets
BTTS66.1%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
4.7%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).