Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.6%
Marseille
9.3%
Draw
5.1%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
3.32
Marseille
vs
0.76
Dijon
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.577.3%
Over 3.558.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
4-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
4-1
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
5-0
5.7%
5-1
4.3%
1-1
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).