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AHT: 01CSV

09 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Bolton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.0%
Mansfield
27.1%
Draw
34.9%
Bolton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Mansfield

vs
1.06

Bolton

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).