Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Portsmouth
33.0%
Draw
35.4%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Portsmouth
vs
1.02
Stoke
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).