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27 Aug 2022 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.2%
Auxerre
30.2%
Draw
45.5%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Auxerre

vs
1.15

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS35.7%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.6%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).