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21 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.9%
Braintree Town
32.7%
Draw
35.3%
Tamworth

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Braintree Town

vs
1.05

Tamworth

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.2%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).