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07 Nov 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.5%
Dunkerque
21.0%
Draw
18.6%
Boulogne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Dunkerque

vs
0.87

Boulogne

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).