Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Boavista
32.0%
Draw
40.0%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Boavista
vs
0.99
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS33.0%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.551.7%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.6%
0-0
16.7%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).