Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Barnsley
21.3%
Draw
31.0%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Barnsley
vs
1.40
Coventry
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).