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23 Oct 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.9%
Ternana
29.4%
Draw
25.7%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Ternana

vs
1.01

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).