Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Juventus
24.7%
Draw
28.8%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Juventus
vs
1.17
Napoli
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).