Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Ath Madrid
21.6%
Draw
12.6%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Ath Madrid
vs
0.70
Girona
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).