Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
23.6%
Draw
22.8%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.98
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).