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AHT: 01

13 Sept 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Dender
31.9%
Draw
38.1%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Dender

vs
1.07

Standard

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.4%
0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).