Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Sheffield United
28.9%
Draw
35.1%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Sheffield United
vs
1.26
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).