Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
St Etienne
23.6%
Draw
44.7%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
St Etienne
vs
1.48
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).