Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.1%
Reading
16.9%
Draw
76.1%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Reading
vs
2.36
Leeds
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.4%
0-1
11.6%
0-3
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
6.7%
0-0
5.8%
1-4
4.0%
0-5
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
1-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).