Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Exeter
28.7%
Draw
33.4%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Exeter
vs
1.01
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.7%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).