Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.0%
Arsenal
17.5%
Draw
7.5%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Arsenal
vs
0.69
West Ham
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).