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12 Dec 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Dumbarton
24.9%
Draw
39.1%
Cove Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Dumbarton

vs
1.62

Cove Rangers

Markets

BTTS63.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
2-0
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).