Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Watford
23.5%
Draw
62.4%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Watford
vs
1.85
Leeds
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).