Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.2%
Alloa
22.2%
Draw
10.7%
Forfar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Alloa
vs
0.61
Forfar
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
2-0
14.6%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).