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28 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Sochi

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.1%
Dynamo Makhachkala
31.0%
Draw
21.9%
Sochi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Dynamo Makhachkala

vs
0.84

Sochi

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).