Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Morecambe
25.6%
Draw
41.3%
Wealdstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Morecambe
vs
1.64
Wealdstone
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).