Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Paris SG
22.3%
Draw
22.7%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Paris SG
vs
1.09
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).