Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Hammarby
26.8%
Draw
29.1%
Djurgården
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Hammarby
vs
1.29
Djurgården
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).