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AHT: 03CSV

26 Oct 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Fylde
28.4%
Draw
39.4%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Fylde

vs
1.37

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).