Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Sudtirol
32.1%
Draw
36.8%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Sudtirol
vs
1.14
Palermo
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).