Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
Sunderland
17.5%
Draw
11.9%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Sunderland
vs
0.69
Accrington
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).