Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.5%
Nottingham Forest
25.0%
Draw
11.6%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Nottingham Forest
vs
0.65
Leicester
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).