Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Zaragoza
30.1%
Draw
17.1%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Zaragoza
vs
0.56
Lugo
Markets
BTTS30.4%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.526.8%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.5%
0-0
16.5%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).