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AHT: 11CSV

22 Feb 2020 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Pisa
27.8%
Draw
40.7%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Pisa

vs
1.48

Venezia

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).