Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Hartlepool
23.9%
Draw
13.7%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Hartlepool
vs
0.74
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).