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AHT: 11CSV

01 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.2%
Montrose
24.3%
Draw
44.6%
FC Edinburgh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Montrose

vs
1.78

FC Edinburgh

Markets

BTTS64.7%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.0%
0-0
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
0-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).