Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Spal
29.2%
Draw
24.6%
Vicenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Spal
vs
0.98
Vicenza
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).