Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Auxerre
23.8%
Draw
27.2%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Auxerre
vs
1.05
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).