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AHT: 01CSV

25 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.2%
Seraing
22.1%
Draw
64.7%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Seraing

vs
1.94

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS46.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.7%
0-1
12.5%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.2%
0-0
7.3%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.5%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).