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AHT: 11CSV

19 Jan 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.6%
Holstein Kiel
27.3%
Draw
24.1%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Holstein Kiel

vs
1.06

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).