Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Vallecano
27.2%
Draw
42.9%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Vallecano
vs
1.39
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).