Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.7%
Leeds
16.0%
Draw
7.4%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Leeds
vs
0.68
QPR
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.8%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).