Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Alanyaspor
26.8%
Draw
19.7%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Alanyaspor
vs
1.16
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).