Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Torquay
23.6%
Draw
44.9%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Torquay
vs
1.90
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS68.1%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
2-3
4.4%
1-0
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).