Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Milton Keynes Dons
27.1%
Draw
41.9%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.18
Bolton
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).