Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Villarreal B
26.2%
Draw
52.4%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Villarreal B
vs
1.48
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
10.8%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).